Confirmation Bias in Investments

Disfluency disrupts the confirmation bias

Modeling confirmation bias and polarization

Online users tend to select claims that adhere to their system of beliefs and to ignore dissenting information. Confirmation bias, indeed, plays a pivotal role in viral phenomena. Furthermore, the wide availability of content on the web fosters the aggregation of likeminded people where debates tend to enforce group polarization. Such a configuration might alter the public debate and thus the f...

Banker Compensation and Confirmation Bias

Con…rmation bias refers to cognitive errors that bias one towards one’s own prior beliefs. A vast empirical literature documents its existence and psychologists identify it as one of the most problematic aspects of human reasoning. In this paper, we present three related scenarios where rational behaviour leads to outcomes that are observationally equivalent to di¤erent types of conformation bi...

Opinion Dynamics with Confirmation Bias

BACKGROUND Confirmation bias is the tendency to acquire or evaluate new information in a way that is consistent with one's preexisting beliefs. It is omnipresent in psychology, economics, and even scientific practices. Prior theoretical research of this phenomenon has mainly focused on its economic implications possibly missing its potential connections with broader notions of cognitive science...

Confirmation Biases in the Financial Analysis of IT Investments

This paper focuses on the optimistic and confirmation biases of experts with respect to major IT investments and their interaction with financial analysts' competencies in finance and information technology. We used an experimental design that involved asking subjects to predict the financial market's reaction to major IT investment announcements. Drawing on the literature on optimistic biases,...